Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.008048 0.009027 0.010099 0.011364 0.012818 0.014443 0.016403
2025-05-11 0.006535 0.007863 0.009442 0.011473 0.014035 0.017189 0.021408
2025-05-18 0.005603 0.007054 0.008874 0.011353 0.014686 0.019072 0.025389
2025-05-25 0.005028 0.006564 0.008577 0.011452 0.015527 0.021207 0.029927
2025-06-01 0.004520 0.006080 0.008200 0.011351 0.016022 0.022863 0.033975
2025-06-08 0.004024 0.005549 0.007684 0.010965 0.016020 0.023744 0.036924
2025-06-15 0.003732 0.005270 0.007485 0.011003 0.016628 0.025596 0.041676
2025-06-22 0.003578 0.005171 0.007532 0.011406 0.017836 0.028537 0.048737
2025-06-29 0.003297 0.004853 0.007213 0.011189 0.017994 0.029729 0.052848
2025-07-06 0.003044 0.004556 0.006899 0.010940 0.018058 0.030745 0.056774
2025-07-13 0.002867 0.004365 0.006733 0.010917 0.018501 0.032486 0.062406
2025-07-20 0.002769 0.004289 0.006745 0.011196 0.019515 0.035419 0.071024
2025-07-27 0.002610 0.004109 0.006583 0.011177 0.020019 0.037534 0.078549
2025-08-03 0.002481 0.003972 0.006484 0.011266 0.020755 0.040256 0.088139
2025-08-10 0.002332 0.003789 0.006287 0.011149 0.021061 0.042111 0.096063
2025-08-17 0.002231 0.003678 0.006209 0.011246 0.021811 0.045045 0.107406
2025-08-24 0.002110 0.003525 0.006039 0.011147 0.022132 0.047056 0.116810
2025-08-31 0.001962 0.003313 0.005746 0.010770 0.021800 0.047484 0.121929
2025-09-07 0.001881 0.003215 0.005660 0.010807 0.022395 0.050247 0.134549
2025-09-14 0.001849 0.003207 0.005741 0.011201 0.023857 0.055432 0.156075
2025-09-21 0.001748 0.003063 0.005548 0.010988 0.023861 0.056837 0.165917
2025-09-28 0.001651 0.002921 0.005349 0.010745 0.023762 0.057953 0.175137
2025-10-05 0.001586 0.002834 0.005254 0.010722 0.024205 0.060645 0.190755